Executive Intelligence

Fuel & Lubricants Stock

Live systems·Updated 12m ago

Stock Value (Network)

OMR 28.6M+OMR 1.9M

Khareef build

Days of Cover

8.4 d−0.6 d

Within band

Stockout Risk (95 RON, Dhofar)

38%+9 pts

14 stations exposed

Lubricants Turn

5.8x+0.4x

SFS lift

Biodiesel Sold (B5/B20)

4.6M L+

OMR 1.3M revenue

Intelligence Node · AI-09
Weekly AI Briefing

Network stock cover is healthy at 8.4 days, but Salalah-corridor stations are at stock-out risk going into the Khareef demand spike.

Total network on-tank fuel + lubricants stock value sits at OMR 28.6M across 239 OM service stations, 49 KSA stations and 12 TZ stations, plus the Duqm Terminal. Average network cover is 8.4 days. Marine bunker stock and aviation JET A-1 are managed under tighter cycles.

AI demand model places stock-out probability above 38% on premium 95 RON across 14 Dhofar stations going into peak Khareef, when Salalah-corridor throughput typically rises 25–30%. Pre-positioning from Mina Al Fahal terminal protects revenue with low carry cost.

Sources · Internal ERP + Bloomberg + AI scrape

Anomaly feed

Dhofar 95 RON stockout risk — Khareef

AI model: 51% by peak Khareef at 14 stations

Critical

AI signal

Lubricants slow-mover backlog

Legacy SKUs OMR 1.4M at 4+ months cover — EV/Marine SKUs accelerating

Warning

Internal

Duqm marine stock cycle tight

Bunker demand pulled forward — replenishment slot under pressure

Warning

Internal

Stockout risk (Premium 95 RON, Dhofar): actual vs forecast (%)

ActualForecastAI augmented

Recommended actions

  • 01

    Pre-position 95 RON to Dhofar corridor

    Defends Khareef-window retail revenue

    Protects ~OMR 1.6M throughput at risk

  • 02

    Liquidate legacy lubricants slow-movers

    Free shelf for EV / Marine lubricants pipeline

    Frees ~OMR 0.8M working capital

  • 03

    Tighten Duqm marine replenishment cycle

    Pull-forward demand vs slot risk

    Avoids ~OMR 0.4M margin slip

External signals

Brent crude

$74/bbl

+1.1% w/w

JET A-1 (MED)

$92/bbl

+2.4%

Marine bunker (Fujairah)

Tight

Supply

Khareef nowcast

Active

AI

Parameters

10 executive parameters with AI-narrated insights.

Loading parameters…

Agentic Workflows

Loading workflows…